But when I learned that three of the top four political
TV ad markets in the nation were in Colorado in July, with Grand Junction at
number two (Colorado Springs at number one, Denver at four), curiosity got the
best of me.
After an afternoon of phone calls, I learned that Colorado
is...
more than just a swing state in the upcoming presidential election; it is the third-ranking “tipping-point” state (behind Ohio and Virginia).
“As goes Colorado, so goes the nation,” is the catch phrase
circulating among national political analysts.
Colorado has 37.2 percent registered Republicans, 31.7
percent Democrats and 30.3 percent unaffiliated voters.
But how did Colorado Springs, Grand Junction and Denver
end up at numbers one, two and four out of all cities across the nation when it
comes to political TV ad buys in the middle of July?
For starters, it turns out that TV stations in Colorado
Springs, Denver and Grand Junction reach nearly 90 percent of voters in the
state — and the media buys are relatively inexpensive when compared to the rest
of the nation.
Although President Obama’s campaign purchased more spots
than Mitt Romney’s campaign in these markets, the Republican-based Super PACs purchased
more than the Democrat-based Super PACs.
El Paso County (Colorado Springs) has 15 percent of the
state’s registered Republicans and is the “heartland” of Colorado’s evangelical
community, while Denver and Boulder have higher percentages of registered
Democrats and unaffiliated voters. About 40 percent of the state’s registered
Republicans are in the suburban areas of Denver.
But how does little Mesa County, with its 102,282
registered voters in TV market number 184, warrant the second-highest political
TV ad buys in the nation?
Mesa County has 44,833 registered Republicans, 20,825
Democrats, 560 Libertarians, 245 American Constitution Party, 189 Green Party
and 9 Americans Elect Party. That leaves 35,621 registered unaffiliated voters.
Except for Maine and Nebraska, 48 states, including
Colorado, have a winner-takes-all electoral college. That means that under
Colorado law each presidential elector must vote for the presidential
candidates who receive the highest number of votes in Colorado’s general
election.
I spoke briefly with local leaders from the two major
parties. Both are working hard to lure the unaffiliated to their camps. Both
leaders said that the unaffiliated folks are the make-it-or-break-it votes in
the upcoming election — local, state and national.
Even though Colorado has only nine electoral college
votes, with national polls showing President Obama and Mitt Romney virtually
head-to-head in the race, the deciding votes of our state’s huge population of
unaffiliated voters suddenly makes sense to me. No wonder the campaigns and
Super PACs are drowning us in political ads!
Like many unaffiliated voters these days, I am watching
less and less television to avoid the onslaught of political ads, and when I do
turn on the set, I’m all but wearing out the mute button on the remote control.
(In all fairness, most of my Democrat and Republican friends tell me they’re
doing the same thing at this point.)
I sincerely appreciate how passionate members of both
parties are in their support of their respective candidates; they’re working
hard to capture as many unaffiliated voters as possible — especially in light
of just how and why the unaffiliated are so critical in determining the outcome
of the upcoming election.
But I can’t help noticing how the one-third that has
become so critical to the election is the same third that has no political ads,
no Super PAC, no 24-hour TV news network, no extremist voice on the legislative
floor, no pollsters and no heavily laden party-line agendas. One-third of the
electorate. That’s a whole lot of independents — a silent majority, if you
will.
Despite all the gloom, boom and doom political ads, I’d
say independence is alive and well in the USA (along with independents). And
that’s just as our nation’s founders intended. No wonder Colorado is getting so
much national attention.
Now where did I put that remote control?
This post is
excerpted from my weekly column in The Daily Sentinel as published in the
Sunday, July 15, 2012, edition of the newspaper.
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